Senior U.S. officials led by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin recently sent an invitation to their Chinese counterparts, including Vice Premier Liu He, to hold another bilateral trade meeting.

Stock Market News Today
2018/09/13


China’s A-shares .SSEC shot up 1.2 percent on hopes for reduced trade tensions, but the excitement did not last long, and the index’s gain was almost erased, leaving it up only 0.1 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei .N225 gained 0.9 percent. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX was up 0.04 percent on Wednesday.

Senior U.S. officials led by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin recently sent an invitation to their Chinese counterparts, including Vice Premier Liu He, to hold another bilateral trade meeting. The development comes as more than 85 U.S. industry groups launched a coalition on Wednesday to take public its fight against President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs.

Trump’s tariffs have escalated far beyond what business groups once imagined as the administration prepares to activate duties on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, hitting a broad array of internet technology products and consumer goods from handbags to bicycles to furniture.

“Public support for Trump has fallen in recent weeks, with Democrats seen likely to capture the House of Representatives. He probably needs some sort of achievements on trade ahead of the mid-term elections,” said Mutsumi Kagawa, chief global strategist at Rakuten Securities in Tokyo.

“So there could be a shift in his trade policy. He will surely keep his hard line rhetoric but his administration may seek to make some deals behind the scene,” he said. However, many market players remained cautious. “While we agree this should provide short-term relief, the road ahead can still be tricky,” said Tai Hui, chief market strategist for JP Morgan Asset Management in Hong Kong, noting concessions China made earlier this year did not satisfy Trump.

“China may not be able to offer much more than that, especially if this involves adjusting its Made in China 2025 policy,” he said in a note.

Still, any serious signs of easing in trade tensions should benefit shares in China and other Asian courtiers the most given they have borne the brunt of U.S. protectionist moves. The trade tensions have hammered global riskier assets over the past few months as policymakers and investors worried about the hit to the world economy. MSCI’s broad emerging markets index .MSCIEF has fallen more than 20 percent from its peak in January, entering bear market territory.

In the currency market, the dollar eased a little on the trade talk hopes as well as on soft U.S. wholesale price data, which undermined the case for a faster pace of policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.

U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in August, recording their first drop in 1-1/2 years and denting talk of accelerating inflation following Friday’s strong wage data.

The euro traded at $1.1636 EUR=, extending its gain this week to 0.71 percent. The yen weakened slightly on Thursday to 111.40 per dollar JPY= on easing trade worries.

Sterling GBP=D4 held near a six-week high of $1.3087 as Brexit-supporting lawmakers in British Prime Minister Theresa May‘s party publicly pledged support for her to stay in power.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England hold policy meetings on Thursday, but both are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged. Perhaps attracting more attention is a policy meeting by the Turkish central bank, which is expected to raise interest rates to shore up its battered lira.

The lira TRYTOM=D3 has lost more than 40 percent of its value against the dollar this year, hit by worries over President Tayyip Erdogan’s grip on monetary policy and by a diplomatic spat between Ankara and Washington.

The lira crisis has spread to some other emerging market countries with weak economic fundamentals such as sizable current account deficits. The lira traded at 6.3450 per dollar, up about 1.1 percent on the week and well off its record low of 7.240 reached one month ago.

Oil prices fell, reversing some of the strong gains from the previous session, as economic concerns raised doubts about fuel demand growth. Brent futures LCOc1 hit $80 per barrel on Wednesday but eased in Asia to $79.25, down 0.6 percent on the day.

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Trackbacks

  1. U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to announce new tariffs on about $200 billion on Chinese imports as early as Monday. – Stock Market News Today
  2. Next financial crisis in the US could occur in 2020: JPMorgan While the duration of the next recession is unknown, the financial services firm has said it could see a US stock slide by about 20 percent. – Stock Market News Today
  3. Metal prices were in rally mode Friday as copper hit 12-week highs, shrugging off a strong dollar on easing trade war fears. – Stock Market News Today
  4. The United States is optimistic about finding a way forward in its trade dispute with China. – Stock Market News Today
  5. New orders for key U.S. made capital goods fell in August after four straight months of strong gains and the goods trade deficit widened sharply. – Stock Market News Today
  6. The Trump administration aims to step up trade talks with other countries, using its new pact with Canada and Mexico as a template to redefine rules on everything. – Stock Market News Today

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